Notes Links Due
Welcome to the Course
Sign up for Piazza
Introduce Yourself to the Class Jan 7, 7 pm
Introduce Yourself to your Professor The responses to this "quiz" will not be available to your classmates. It is untimed. Jan 7, 11:59 pm
Getting to Know the Course Website     Take time go over the contents of this website, especially read the policies section. Do not forget to bookmark stats115.com.
Syllabus Quiz Timed 30 min. Before taking it you need to read all the information on this course website. If you have questions come to office hours first before taking the quiz. Jan 7, 11:59 pm
Download and install R     Yes, you do need to download and install unless you have the latest version.
Download and install RStudio     Yes, you do need to download and install unless you have the latest version. Download the free Desktop version.
Install bayesrules package. Make sure to run the code in the Console and not in a R script.
Install rstan Installation of rstan is quite an experience in comparison to other R packages. Read the guide provided at the link and follow the steps. You can stop for now if you make it to Checking the C++ Toolchain
Download VPN     Use the instructions to download VPN so that you can access resources that are only available on the campus network.
Toolbox Quiz Jan 7, 11:59 pm
Introduction to Bayesian Statistics    
Probability Review    
Bayes' Rule for Events    
Review of ggplot If you need a refresher on ggplot you can watch the ggplot video from my ICS80 class.  
Review of the pipe operator If you need a refresher on the pipe operator you can watch the video from my ICS80 class.  
Simulating the Posterior for Events  
Bayes' Rule for Events Quiz Jan 7, 11:59 pm
Reading from Bayes Rules! book Chapter 1, Sections 2.1 and 2.2
Bayesian Basics Homework Jan 15, 11:59 pm


Notes Links Due
Bayes' Rule for Random Variables    
Bayes' Rule for Random Variables Quiz Jan 14, 11:59 pm
The Beta Prior    
Beta Prior Quiz Jan 14, 11:59 pm
The Beta-Binomial Model    
The Beta-Binomial Quiz Jan 14, 11:59 pm
Reading from Bayes Rules! book Sections 2.3, 3.1, 3.2, 3.3, and 3.4
Homework 2 Jan 22, 11:59 pm


Notes Links Due
Beta-Binomial Review and Posterior Simulation    
Balance in Bayesian Analyses    
Sequentialiy in Bayesian Analyses    
Balance and Sequentiality Quiz Jan 21, 11:59 pm
Reading from Bayes Rules! book Sections 3.5, 3.6 and all sections in Chapter 4
Homework 3 Jan 29, 11:59 pm


Notes Links Due
The Gamma-Poisson Model    
The Gamma-Poisson Quiz Jan 28, 11:59 pm
The Normal-Normal Model    
The Normal-Normal Quiz Jan 28, 11:59 pm
Reading from Bayes Rules! book Chapter 5
Homework 4 Feb 5, 11:59 pm


Notes Links Due
Grid Approximation    
Grid Approximation Quiz Feb 4, 11:59 pm
Markov Chains with RStan    
Markov Chains Quiz Feb 4, 11:59 pm
Reading from Bayes Rules! book Chapter 6
Mock Midterm Will not be graded


Notes Links Due
Metropolis-Hastings Algorithm
Metropolis-Hastings Quiz Feb 12, 11:59 pm
Midterm Live during discussion. You need to be logged onto zoom simultaneously. Feb 11, 07:00 - 07:50 pm
Reading from Bayes Rules! book Chapter 7


Notes Links Due
Posterior Inference    
Posterior Inferencce Quiz Feb 18, 11:59 pm
Posterior Prediction    
Posterior Prediction Quiz Feb 18, 11:59 pm
Reading from Bayes Rules! book Chapter 8
Homework 7 Feb 26, 11:59 pm
Final Project Mar 16, 12:30 pm


Notes Links Due
Simple Normal Regression    
Posterior Prediction    
Simple Normal Regression Quiz Feb 25, 11:59 pm
Evaluating Regression Models    
Model Evaluation Quiz Feb 25, 11:59 pm
Reading from Bayes Rules! book Chapters 9 and 10
Homework 8 March 5, 11:59 pm
Final Project Mar 16, 12:30 pm


Notes Links Due
Extending Normal Regression    
Extending Normal Regression Quiz March 4, 11:59 pm
Logistic Regression    
Logistic Regression Quiz March 4, 11:59 pm
Reading from Bayes Rules! book Chapters 11 and 13
Homework 9 March 12, 11:59 pm
Final Project Mar 16, 12:30 pm
Final Oral Exam Schedule your exam Mar 16, 12:30 pm


Notes Links Due
Course Evaluations Mar 15, 07:50 am
Final Project Mar 16, 12:30 pm
Final Oral Exam Schedule your exam Mar 16, 12:30 pm